Following my recent successes betting on Theresa May as next Prime Minister and Phillip Hammond as next Chancellor, I’ve just place £10 at Ladbrokes on Senator Tim Kaine to be elected President of the USA. [I found even better odds at Coral and I’ve put another £10 on him at 100-1]
Tim who ? Many in the UK might ask.
Senator Tim Kaine is the Democratic Party’s Vice Presidential candidate and in the event that Hilary Clinton withdraws due to poor health, it will be he who will contest the US Presidential elections in November for the Democrats against Republican Donald Trump.
It is important to understand that due to the fact that 13 US states have closed nominations, Bernie Sanders could not be selected as the Democrats candidate. Instead Tim Kaine’s would take over and a new vice presidential candidate would be appointed.
Given Hilary Clinton’s health problems, including today at the 9/11 memorial service in New York HERE, it looks like this outcome has a significantly increased probability of occurring – certainly far better than the 66-1 that I’ve just put £10 on. I’d expect those odds to shorten rapidly to around 10-1 as speculation about Clinton’s ability to continue increases.
If Hilary Clinton were to withdraw then Tim Kaine is a far less divisive figure than Clinton and Trump and in my view has a better than 50% chance of winning the Presidency.
Please remember not to bet more than you can comfortably afford to lose.
Many Republican senators can barely muster a positive word about their own nominee for president. But ask them about the guy running for vice president as a Democrat, Virginia Sen. Tim Kaine, and they positively gush about the prospect of working with him.
“He could be a tremendous asset,” said Sen. Bob Corker (R-Tenn.), chairman of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, which Kaine serves on. “He understands the issues, he cares about having an outcome and I think he could be very effective with working with people here.”
“I don’t know anybody on the Republican side who has a bad thing to say about him. He doesn’t go out of his way to go after people politically and he’s all about policy,” added Sen. Jeff Flake (R-Ariz.).
For Hillary Clinton to have any prayer of getting things done if she wins, she’ll need to reverse eight toxic, standoff years between the Obama White House and Republican Congress. Kaine could go a long way.
The first-term senator has made a point of getting along with his GOP counterparts: He’s built a rapport with conservative firebrand Ted Cruz, delivered a book on polio to Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell after hearing the Kentucky Republican discuss his childhood battles with the disease, and works out in the Senate gym with Sen. Dean Heller (R-Nev.).
For one party to praise the other’s VP nominee in the thick of election season is unusual, to put it mildly.
More at Politico.com