Former Energy Secretary Chris Huhne has pleaded guilty to perverting the course of justice. Even though this was because he asked his wife to take responsibility for a driving offence (speeding), this is actually a very serious criminal offence.
He is likely to face a prison sentence and it seems almost certain that he’ll have to resign his Eastleigh parliamentary seat.
So let’s look at the result in 2010 in that constituency.
It is early days but I would expect to see, Labour win a by-election with UKIP second, and the Conservatives third.
The good Lib Dem result and poor Labour result in Eastleigh has a great deal to do with tactical voting.
I would expect the by-election to take place on Thursday 2 May 2013, the same day as the Hampshire County Council Elections unless that is too far away.